The 2.8% Signal: Why Illinoisโ Digital Asset Tax Lawsuit Might Be the Real Market Catalyst No One Is Watching
A single data point: Polymarket assigns a 2.8% probability to Bitcoin trading...
regulatory lawsuit related articles
A single data point: Polymarket assigns a 2.8% probability to Bitcoin trading...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Block reward halving event
Team and early investor shares released
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
92 million ARB released
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Bitcoin Season