The 3.6% Fallacy: When Prediction Markets Trade Sovereignty
A market on an anonymous prediction protocol currently prices the fall of the...
Security
•
BullBear
•
2026-07-26
#oracle design
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Prediction Markets and the False Precision of War: The Shiraz Strike and the 26.5% Illusion
A projectile lands near Shiraz, Iran. US-Israeli military campaign underway....
Policy
•
BenTiger
•
2026-07-21
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