The 40.5% Signal: Why On-Chain Prediction Markets Already Priced In the Stall
The prediction market’s golden hour is over. On Polymarket, the probability o...
Mining
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PlanBWolf
•
2026-07-19
#nansen analysis
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Partnerships
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Samtoshi
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2026-07-18
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Fear
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202630
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
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10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$64,824.6
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,860.41
1
Solana
SOL
$75.48
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$571.3
1
XRP Ledger
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$1.09
1
Dogecoin
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$0.0724
1
Cardano
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$0.1668
1
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$6.58
1
Polkadot
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1
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12m ago
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0x3273...5f16
6h ago
Out
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0xfd1b...b4c5
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0xf707...16c5
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93%