The 40.5% Signal: Why On-Chain Prediction Markets Already Priced In the Stall
The prediction market’s golden hour is over. On Polymarket, the probability o...
Mining
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PlanBWolf
•
2026-07-19
#nansen analysis
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Samtoshi
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2026-07-18
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Fear & Greed
30
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202628
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$65,017.6
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,916.94
1
Solana
SOL
$74.65
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$593.6
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.03
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0701
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.2011
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.54
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8223
1
Chainlink
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$8.27
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43
Bitcoin Season
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Altseason
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28 Gwei
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3 Gwei
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42 Gwei
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0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0x5bb8...9d01
30m ago
Out
243,723 USDC
🔵
0x084f...2c5d
6h ago
Stake
4,245.80 BTC
🔴
0x1035...c783
12m ago
Out
18,685 BNB
💡 Smart Money
0xb002...0815
Early Investor
-$1.3M
80%
0x2f5d...da6b
Market Maker
+$0.3M
88%
0x70af...e970
Market Maker
+$1.1M
88%