The 11.5% Signal: How a Prediction Market Priced the Strait of Hormuz Standoff
A single data point on a prediction market is shouting louder than any...
Regulation
•
CryptoSignal
•
2026-07-18
#gray zone conflict
gray zone conflict related articles
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$64,775.6
+1.23%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,860.04
+0.94%
SOL
Solana
$75.64
+0.60%
BNB
BNB Chain
$570.8
+0.62%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.09
+0.42%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0726
-0.08%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1671
-0.59%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.59
-0.50%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.8345
-1.86%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.34
+1.12%
Fear & Greed
28
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202630
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$64,775.6
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,860.04
1
Solana
SOL
$75.64
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$570.8
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.09
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0726
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1671
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.59
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8345
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.34
Tag Hub
Tools
All →Altseason Index
43
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x64e0...3f46
1h ago
In
42,514 BNB
🔵
0x4aa1...d0d5
6h ago
Stake
4,045.36 BTC
🟢
0xc7bf...008d
5m ago
In
710.75 BTC
💡 Smart Money
0xb3e5...3fc2
Institutional Custody
+$4.2M
66%
0x8e2c...01a8
Market Maker
+$4.3M
69%
0x2cf4...6b4f
Institutional Custody
+$4.5M
60%